Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.120717 0.139437 0.159853 0.183738 0.210882 0.240735 0.276019
2024-12-15 0.097868 0.124127 0.155249 0.194710 0.243260 0.300875 0.374251
2024-12-22 0.076533 0.105582 0.142664 0.193140 0.259684 0.343988 0.458394
2024-12-29 0.065787 0.097722 0.141216 0.204166 0.292200 0.410069 0.578765
2025-01-05 0.055413 0.088111 0.135366 0.207667 0.314281 0.464222 0.689136
2025-01-12 0.045509 0.077161 0.125518 0.203426 0.324056 0.501500 0.779248
2025-01-19 0.038288 0.068905 0.118142 0.201308 0.335915 0.542101 0.877380
2025-01-26 0.035005 0.066405 0.119231 0.212223 0.368630 0.616708 1.033500
2025-02-02 0.031961 0.063733 0.119503 0.221546 0.399420 0.690787 1.195234
2025-02-09 0.027056 0.056815 0.111394 0.215292 0.403114 0.720983 1.288229
2025-02-16 0.023604 0.052033 0.106350 0.213623 0.414169 0.763886 1.405458
2025-02-23 0.020250 0.046847 0.099765 0.208124 0.417462 0.793302 1.501506
2025-03-02 0.017553 0.042633 0.094602 0.204932 0.425132 0.832002 1.619117
2025-03-09 0.015926 0.040462 0.093243 0.209059 0.447167 0.898731 1.793293
2025-03-16 0.013673 0.036453 0.087447 0.203328 0.449128 0.928178 1.901013
2025-03-23 0.012879 0.035763 0.088735 0.212684 0.482522 1.020450 2.135434
2025-03-30 0.011679 0.033846 0.086982 0.215154 0.501787 1.086659 2.324675
2025-04-06 0.010164 0.030821 0.082204 0.210176 0.504524 1.119898 2.451207
2025-04-13 0.008994 0.028486 0.078717 0.207684 0.512330 1.163975 2.602948
2025-04-20 0.008654 0.028410 0.080817 0.218748 0.551690 1.277167 2.905873
2025-04-27 0.008252 0.028079 0.082213 0.228242 0.588348 1.387457 3.210849
2025-05-04 0.007193 0.025560 0.077485 0.221766 0.586783 1.414603 3.340354
2025-05-11 0.006451 0.023873 0.074746 0.220027 0.596339 1.466982 3.528468